{"id":953,"date":"2020-02-11T23:55:03","date_gmt":"2020-02-11T20:55:03","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/nalog.fr\/cs6-priznaku-podle-kterych-lze-predpokladat-rust-cen-nemovitosti\/"},"modified":"2020-02-11T23:55:03","modified_gmt":"2020-02-11T20:55:03","slug":"cs6-priznaku-podle-kterych-lze-predpokladat-rust-cen-nemovitosti","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/nalog.fr\/cs\/cs6-priznaku-podle-kterych-lze-predpokladat-rust-cen-nemovitosti\/","title":{"rendered":"6 p\u0159\u00edznak\u016f, podle kter\u00fdch lze p\u0159edpokl\u00e1dat r\u016fst cen nemovitost\u00ed"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>Je zn\u00e1mo, \u017ee koupit nemovitost stoj\u00ed, kdy trh dos\u00e1hl dna, a prod\u00e1vat \u2014 v dob\u011b vrcholu na maxim\u00e1ln\u00ed hodnot\u011b. Nicm\u00e9n\u011b, n\u00e1klady na za\u0159\u00edzen\u00ed v\u017edy ovliv\u0148uje mnoho faktor\u016f, a proto je pro investora je d\u016fle\u017eit\u00e9 zvolit vhodnou strategii a um\u011bt p\u0159edv\u00eddat, jak se budou chovat ceny na konkr\u00e9tn\u00edm \u010dasov\u00e9m obdob\u00ed. &#8222;\u0422\u0440\u0430\u043d\u0438\u043e&#8220; \u0159\u00edk\u00e1, na jak\u00e9 znaky lze ur\u010dit, zda bude nemovitost dra\u017e\u0161\u00ed nebo levn\u011bj\u0161\u00ed v bl\u00edzk\u00e9 budoucnosti:<\/p>\n<ul>\n<li>r\u016fst ekonomiky (HDP),<\/li>\n<li>r\u016fst blahobytu st\u0159edn\u00ed t\u0159\u00eddy,<\/li>\n<li>zv\u00fd\u0161en\u00ed objemu v\u00fdstavby,<\/li>\n<li>r\u016fst cen ropy a energi\u00ed,<\/li>\n<li>velk\u00e9 mezin\u00e1rodn\u00ed ud\u00e1losti,<\/li>\n<li>rozvoj infrastruktury.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<h2 id=\"re\">R\u016fst ekonomiky (HDP)<\/h2>\n<p>R\u016fst ekonomiky vede ke zv\u00fd\u0161en\u00ed kupn\u00ed s\u00edly a blahobytu obyvatelstva. Na druh\u00e9 stran\u011b, to vede ke zv\u00fd\u0161en\u00ed po\u010dtu transakc\u00ed na trhu a v d\u016fsledku toho r\u016fst cen nemovitost\u00ed. Nap\u0159\u00edklad, ve \u0160pan\u011blsku a v It\u00e1lii, jak HDP, tak i ceny bydlen\u00ed rostly od roku 2000 a\u017e do roku 2008, kdy vypukla glob\u00e1ln\u00ed finan\u010dn\u00ed krize, a to ji\u017e od roku 2009 v obou zem\u00edch tyto ukazatele poklesly.<\/p>\n<p>     <i><\/i><\/p>\n<p>     <i><\/i><\/p>\n<h2 id=\"rbsk\">R\u016fst blahobytu st\u0159edn\u00ed t\u0159\u00eddy<\/h2>\n<p>Velk\u00e1 \u010d\u00e1st kupc\u016f nemovitost\u00ed \u2014 z\u00e1stupci st\u0159edn\u00ed t\u0159\u00eddy. Zm\u011bna p\u0159\u00edjm\u016f t\u00e9to soci\u00e1ln\u00ed mezivrstvy do zna\u010dn\u00e9 m\u00edry ovliv\u0148uje popt\u00e1vku, a tedy ceny na trhu. Obecn\u011b v zem\u00edch, kde st\u0159edn\u00ed t\u0159\u00edda rychle p\u011bstov\u00e1n\u00ed rich, ceny na bydlen\u00ed rostou rychleji, a naopak.<\/p>\n<p>Nap\u0159\u00edklad od roku 2000 do 2015 letech pr\u016fm\u011brn\u00fd ro\u010dn\u00ed r\u016fst bohatstv\u00ed t\u00e9to t\u0159\u00eddy na Filip\u00edn\u00e1ch a v Rusku \u010dinil 11 %, a ceny nemovitost\u00ed v t\u011bchto zem\u00edch za stejn\u00e9 obdob\u00ed rostly v pr\u016fm\u011bru o 7 a 9% ro\u010dn\u011b, resp. Ve Francii a \u0160v\u00fdcarsku, pr\u016fm\u011brn\u00fd ro\u010dn\u00ed r\u016fst bohatstv\u00ed t\u00e9to skupiny obyvatel \u010dinil 7 %, zat\u00edmco r\u016fst cen nemovitost\u00ed, 5 a 4 %. V Japonsku \u00farove\u0148 p\u0159\u00edjm\u016f t\u011bchto ob\u010dan\u016f se za 15 let nezm\u011bnil, stejn\u011b nemovitost\u00ed p\u0159itom klesl o 2 %.<\/p>\n<p>     <i><\/i><\/p>\n<h2 id=\"uos\">Zv\u00fd\u0161en\u00ed objemu v\u00fdstavby<\/h2>\n<p>O\u017eiven\u00ed stavebnictv\u00ed sv\u011bd\u010d\u00ed o zlep\u0161en\u00ed situace na trhu nemovitost\u00ed. Objem v\u00fdstavby se za\u010d\u00ednaj\u00ed zvy\u0161ovat, pokud jde o obnoven\u00ed popt\u00e1vky. Tak, tempo v\u00fdstavby ve \u0160pan\u011blsku p\u0159estala klesat v letech 2013-2014, a spolu s t\u00edm za\u010daly r\u016fst ceny nemovitost\u00ed.<\/p>\n<p>     <i><\/i><\/p>\n<p>     <i><\/i><\/p>\n<h2 id=\"rcnne\">R\u016fst cen ropy a energi\u00ed<\/h2>\n<p>Kdy\u017e ceny ropy rostou, se zvy\u0161uj\u00ed i ceny nemovitost\u00ed. Tak, podle Savills, v pozad\u00ed \u0434\u0435\u0448\u0435\u0432\u0435\u044e\u0449\u0435\u0439 ropy od roku 2007 do roku 2009 byt\u016f v Moskv\u011b se sn\u00ed\u017eil na 51 %, a kdy\u017e se v lednu-\u00fanoru 2009 ceny ropy za\u010daly r\u016fst, cena za metr \u010dtvere\u010dn\u00ed taky \u0161la nahoru. V roce 2015 ropy vyk\u00e1zaly negativn\u00ed dynamiku a ceny nemovitost\u00ed tak\u00e9 poklesly.<\/p>\n<p>Tato situace je charakteristick\u00e1 nejen pro \u044d\u043d\u0435\u0440\u0433\u043e\u0437\u0430\u0432\u0438\u0441\u0438\u043c\u044b\u0445 trhy, ale i pro zem\u011b dov\u00e1\u017eej\u00edc\u00ed ropu: levn\u00e9 energi\u00ed sni\u017euj\u00ed v\u00fddaje dom\u00e1cnost\u00ed a firem, respektive se uvol\u0148uj\u00ed finan\u010dn\u00ed prost\u0159edky na n\u00e1kup nemovitost\u00ed, co\u017e vede k r\u016fstu popt\u00e1vky a cen na trhu.<\/p>\n<p>     <i><\/i><\/p>\n<h2 id=\"kms\">Velk\u00e9 mezin\u00e1rodn\u00ed akce<\/h2>\n<p>Velk\u00e9 mezin\u00e1rodn\u00ed ud\u00e1losti (Olympijsk\u00e9 hry, Mistrovstv\u00ed sv\u011bta ve fotbale, sv\u011btov\u00e9 v\u00fdstavy, atd.) vedou k r\u016fstu cen ubytov\u00e1n\u00ed v bl\u00edzkosti m\u00edsta kon\u00e1n\u00ed t\u011bchto akc\u00ed. N\u011bkdy se takov\u00e9 ud\u00e1losti maj\u00ed trval\u00fd dopad na trh, jako je nap\u0159\u00edklad &#8222;efekt Olympijsk\u00e9 hry,&#8220; poznamenal v m\u011bstech-hostitele Her v pr\u016fb\u011bhu n\u011bkolika let po kon\u00e1n\u00ed sout\u011b\u017ee. Tak, v At\u00e9n\u00e1ch (m\u00edsto kon\u00e1n\u00ed Letn\u00edch her v roce 2004) a v Lond\u00fdn\u011b (2012), ceny bydlen\u00ed p\u0159ed Olympi\u00e1dou rostly m\u00edrn\u00fdm tempem, a po n\u00ed se dramaticky \u0161li nahoru. V roce 2015, v p\u0159edve\u010der Olympijsk\u00fdch her v Rio de Janeiro, cena v tomto m\u011bst\u011b ji\u017e vzrostly natolik, \u017ee se na trhu tvo\u0159\u00ed bublina. Olympi\u00e1da-2020 se bude konat v Tokiu, a odborn\u00edci o\u010dek\u00e1vaj\u00ed, \u017ee r\u016fst cen nemovitost\u00ed v japonsk\u00e9m hlavn\u00edm m\u011bst\u011b.<\/p>\n<p>     <i><\/i><\/p>\n<p>     <i><\/i><\/p>\n<p>Podobn\u011b na trh ovliv\u0148uj\u00ed a jin\u00e9 velk\u00e9 ud\u00e1losti. Nap\u0159\u00edklad v Dubaji se p\u0159edpokl\u00e1d\u00e1 r\u016fst cen nemovitost\u00ed v souvislosti s proveden\u00edm sv\u011btov\u00e9 v\u00fdstavy &#8222;Expo 2020&#8220;. Podle zpr\u00e1vy webov\u00e9 str\u00e1nky ArabianBusiness.com bydlen\u00ed v nejv\u011bt\u0161\u00edm m\u011bst\u011b spojen\u00fdch arabsk\u00fdch EMIR\u00c1T\u016e za\u010d\u00e1tek stoupat ji\u017e v listopadu 2014, ihned pot\u00e9, co bylo ozn\u00e1meno, \u017ee akce se bude konat v Dubaj: listopad-prosinec 2014 nemovitosti v bl\u00edzkosti h\u0159i\u0161t\u011b, vybran\u00fdmi pro po\u0159\u00e1d\u00e1n\u00ed Expo 2020&#8243;, se rozrostla v hodnot\u011b 9 %.<\/p>\n<h2 id=\"ri\">Rozvoj infrastruktury<\/h2>\n<p>V\u00fdstavba mezin\u00e1rodn\u00edch leti\u0161\u0165, velk\u00fdch nemocnic, most\u016f a dal\u0161\u00edch velk\u00fdch infrastrukturn\u00edch projekt\u016f vedou k tomu, \u017ee ceny nemovitost\u00ed v okoln\u00edch oblastech rostou rychleji ne\u017e v jin\u00fdch \u010d\u00e1stech m\u011bsta.<\/p>\n<p>Nap\u0159\u00edklad, podle Knight Frank, ceny na lond\u00fdnsk\u00e9 nemovitosti, kter\u00e1 se nach\u00e1z\u00ed na pozemc\u00edch p\u0159ilehl\u00fdch k m\u00edst\u016fm stavbu stanice vysokorychlostn\u00ed \u017eeleznice Crossrail (v tuto chv\u00edli je to nejv\u011bt\u0161\u00ed infrastrukturn\u00ed projekt v Evrop\u011b), rostou v pr\u016fm\u011bru o 5 % rychlej\u0161\u00ed, ne\u017e v jin\u00fdch oblastech britsk\u00e9ho hlavn\u00edho m\u011bsta.<\/p>\n<p>Jin\u00fd p\u0159\u00edklad: analytici tureck\u00e9ho Centra strategick\u00e9 pl\u00e1nov\u00e1n\u00ed investic do nemovitost\u00ed (Gayrimenkul I\u00e7in Strateji Platformu) se domn\u00edvaj\u00ed, \u017ee \u0441\u0442\u0430\u0440\u0442\u043e\u0432\u0430\u0432\u0448\u0435\u0435 v roce 2014 v\u00fdstavba t\u0159et\u00edho leti\u0161t\u011b v Istanbulu vedlo k n\u00e1r\u016fstu cen nemovitost\u00ed v p\u0159ilehl\u00fdch oblastech. Podle Centra, pozemek v bl\u00edzkosti leti\u0161t\u011b v roce 2013 st\u00e1lo 20-30 eur\/m2 a v roce 2015 \u2014 ji\u017e 77 euro\/m2.<\/p>\n<p>T\u00edm, kdo si koup\u00ed nemovitost s investi\u010dn\u00edm c\u00edlem, doporu\u010duji koupit reziden\u010dn\u00edch nemovitost\u00ed v dobr\u00e9 lokalit\u011b s potenci\u00e1lem rozvoje. V ide\u00e1ln\u00edm p\u0159\u00edpad\u011b by to m\u011bl b\u00fdt p\u0159ilehl\u00fd k \u044d\u043b\u0438\u0442\u043d\u043e\u043c\u0443 oblasti, ubytov\u00e1n\u00ed, v kter\u00e9m se dnes nach\u00e1z\u00ed v pr\u016fm\u011brn\u00e9 cenov\u00e9 kategorii, a po 10-15 letech se m\u016f\u017ee st\u00e1t drah\u00e9. Nemovitost\u00ed je v\u017edy v popt\u00e1vce, po\u010det obyvatel m\u011bst se bude pouze zvy\u0161ovat, a plochy p\u0159ilehl\u00e9 k centr\u00e1ln\u00ed a elitu, jsou odsouzeni st\u00e1t drah\u00e9, tak\u017ee byty v takov\u00fdch slibn\u00fdch m\u00edstech \u2014 to nejlep\u0161\u00ed aktiva. Krom\u011b toho v p\u0159\u00edpad\u011b pot\u0159eby jej bude mo\u017en\u00e9 prod\u00e1vat bez slev.<\/p>\n<p>            <b class=\"citation-author-name\">Ji\u0159\u00ed \u041a\u0430\u0447\u043c\u0430\u0437\u043e\u0432<\/b><\/p>\n<p> Gener\u00e1ln\u00ed \u0159editel a zakladatel Tranio<\/p>\n<p>&#8222;\u0422\u0440\u0430\u043d\u0438\u043e&#8220; doporu\u010duje sledovat d\u011bn\u00ed na trz\u00edch a vybrat um\u00edst\u011bn\u00ed pro investice v souladu s p\u0159edpokl\u00e1dan\u00e9 zm\u011bny cen.<\/p>\n<p>Julia \u041a\u043e\u0436\u0435\u0432\u043d\u0438\u043a\u043e\u0432\u0430, &#8222;\u0422\u0440\u0430\u043d\u0438\u043e&#8220;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Je zn\u00e1mo, \u017ee koupit nemovitost stoj\u00ed, kdy trh dos\u00e1hl dna, a prod\u00e1vat \u2014 v dob\u011b vrcholu na maxim\u00e1ln\u00ed hodnot\u011b. Nicm\u00e9n\u011b,<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":468,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[133],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-953","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-danove-informace-ve-francii"],"translation":{"provider":"WPGlobus","version":"3.0.0","language":"cs","enabled_languages":["ru","uk","en","de","fr","it","es","pl","pt","bg","cs","da","et","fi","hr","hu","lt","lv","mk","no","ro","sk","sl","sq","sr","tr","nl","am","ca","sv"],"languages":{"ru":{"title":false,"content":false,"excerpt":false},"uk":{"title":false,"content":false,"excerpt":false},"en":{"title":false,"content":false,"excerpt":false},"de":{"title":false,"content":false,"excerpt":false},"fr":{"title":false,"content":false,"excerpt":false},"it":{"title":false,"content":false,"excerpt":false},"es":{"title":false,"content":false,"excerpt":false},"pl":{"title":false,"content":false,"excerpt":false},"pt":{"title":false,"content":false,"excerpt":false},"bg":{"title":false,"content":false,"excerpt":false},"cs":{"title":true,"content":true,"excerpt":false},"da":{"title":false,"content":false,"excerpt":false},"et":{"title":false,"content":false,"excerpt":false},"fi":{"title":false,"content":false,"excerpt":false},"hr":{"title":false,"content":false,"excerpt":false},"hu":{"title":false,"content":false,"excerpt":false},"lt":{"title":false,"content":false,"excerpt":false},"lv":{"title":false,"content":false,"excerpt":false},"mk":{"title":false,"content":false,"excerpt":false},"no":{"title":false,"content":false,"excerpt":false},"ro":{"title":false,"content":false,"excerpt":false},"sk":{"title":false,"content":false,"excerpt":false},"sl":{"title":false,"content":false,"excerpt":false},"sq":{"title":false,"content":false,"excerpt":false},"sr":{"title":false,"content":false,"excerpt":false},"tr":{"title":false,"content":false,"excerpt":false},"nl":{"title":false,"content":false,"excerpt":false},"am":{"title":false,"content":false,"excerpt":false},"ca":{"title":false,"content":false,"excerpt":false},"sv":{"title":false,"content":false,"excerpt":false}}},"aioseo_notices":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/nalog.fr\/cs\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/953","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/nalog.fr\/cs\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/nalog.fr\/cs\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/nalog.fr\/cs\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/nalog.fr\/cs\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=953"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/nalog.fr\/cs\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/953\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/nalog.fr\/cs\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/468"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/nalog.fr\/cs\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=953"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/nalog.fr\/cs\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=953"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/nalog.fr\/cs\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=953"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}