{"id":1841,"date":"2020-02-13T00:20:06","date_gmt":"2020-02-12T21:20:06","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/nalog.fr\/lt6-pozymiai-pagal-kuriuos-galima-prognozuoti-nekilnojamojo-turto-kainu\/"},"modified":"2020-02-13T00:20:06","modified_gmt":"2020-02-12T21:20:06","slug":"lt6-pozymiai-pagal-kuriuos-galima-prognozuoti-nekilnojamojo-turto-kainu","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/nalog.fr\/lt\/lt6-pozymiai-pagal-kuriuos-galima-prognozuoti-nekilnojamojo-turto-kainu\/","title":{"rendered":"6 po\u017eymiai, pagal kuriuos galima prognozuoti nekilnojamojo turto kain\u0173"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>Kaip \u017einoma, pirkti nekilnojam\u0105j\u012f turt\u0105 verta, kai rinka pasiek\u0117 dugn\u0105, o parduoti \u2014 \u0161iuo metu did\u017eiausias pagal did\u017eiausi\u0105 kain\u0105. Beje, \u012f kain\u0105 objektai visada turi \u012ftakos daug veiksni\u0173, tod\u0117l investuotojui svarbu pasirinkti tinkam\u0105 strategij\u0105 ir sugeb\u0117ti pasistenkite numatyti, kaip bus elgtis kainos konkre\u010diame bendrijomis laiko. &#8222;\u0422\u0440\u0430\u043d\u0438\u043e&#8221; papasakos, d\u0117l koki\u0173 rodoma, galite nustatyti, ar nekilnojamojo turto \u0434\u043e\u0440\u043e\u0436\u0430\u0442\u044c arba \u0434\u0435\u0448\u0435\u0432\u0435\u0442\u044c artimiausioje ateityje:<\/p>\n<ul>\n<li>ekonomika (BVP),<\/li>\n<li>augan\u010dios gerov\u0117s viduriniosios klas\u0117s,<\/li>\n<li>padidinti apimties statybos,<\/li>\n<li>did\u0117jan\u010dios naftos ir \u044d\u043d\u0435\u0440\u0433\u043e\u0440\u0435\u0441\u0443\u0440\u0441\u044b,<\/li>\n<li>dideli tarptautiniai renginiai,<\/li>\n<li>pl\u0117toti infrastrukt\u016br\u0105.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<h2 id=\"re\">Ekonomika (BVP)<\/h2>\n<p>Ekonomika auk\u0161tesn\u012f perkamoji galia ir gerov\u0117s gyventoj\u0173. Savo ruo\u017etu tai veda prie padidinti sandori\u0173 skai\u010di\u0173 rinkoje, ir, kaip pasekm\u0117, augimo nekilnojamojo turto kainos. Pavyzd\u017eiui, Ispanijoje ir Italijoje kaip BVP, tod\u0117l ir b\u016bsto kainos augo nuo 2000 iki 2008 met\u0173, kai prasid\u0117jo pasaulio finans\u0173 kriz\u0117, ir jau nuo 2009 m. abiejose \u0161alyse \u0161ie rodikliai suma\u017e\u0117jo.<\/p>\n<p>     <i><\/i><\/p>\n<p>     <i><\/i><\/p>\n<h2 id=\"rbsk\">Augan\u010dios gerov\u0117s viduriniosios klas\u0117s<\/h2>\n<p>Did\u017eioji dalis nekilnojamojo turto pirk\u0117jai \u2014 viduriniosios klas\u0117s atstovai. Keitimas pajam\u0173 \u0161io socialinio \u043f\u0440\u043e\u0441\u043b\u043e\u0439\u043a\u0438 didele dalimi \u012ftakoja paklaus\u0105 ir, atitinkamai, rinkos kainas. Apskritai \u0161alyse, kur vidutin\u0117s klas\u0117s greitai \u0431\u043e\u0433\u0430\u0442\u0435\u0435\u0442, b\u016bsto kainos auga grei\u010diau, ir atvirk\u0161\u010diai.<\/p>\n<p>Pavyzd\u017eiui, nuo 2000-2015 metais vidutinis metinis augimas gerov\u0117s \u0161ios klas\u0117s Filipinai ir Rusija sudar\u0117 11 %, o nekilnojamojo turto kainos \u0161iose \u0161alyse per t\u0105 pat\u012f laikotarp\u012f augo vidutini\u0161kai 7 ir 9 % per metus atitinkamai. Pranc\u016bzijoje ir \u0160veicarijoje vidutinis metinis augimas gerov\u0117s \u0161ios grup\u0117s gyventoj\u0173 sudar\u0117 7 %, o kain\u0173 b\u016bst\u0105 \u2014 5 ir 4 %. Japonijoje pajam\u0173 lygis toki\u0173 pilie\u010di\u0173 per 15 met\u0173 nepasikeit\u0117, o nekilnojamojo turto, jei tai \u043f\u043e\u0434\u0435\u0448\u0435\u0432\u0435\u043b\u0430-2 %.<\/p>\n<p>     <i><\/i><\/p>\n<h2 id=\"uos\">Padidinti apimties statybos<\/h2>\n<p>Animacija statybos pramon\u0117je byloja apie pagerinti situacij\u0105 nekilnojamojo turto rinkoje. Apimtis statybos pradeda padid\u0117ti bent atk\u016brimo paklausa. Taip, tempas statybos Ispanijoje nustojo trauktis \u012f 2013-2014 metais, ir kartu su tuo prad\u0117jo pakilti nekilnojamojo turto kainos.<\/p>\n<p>     <i><\/i><\/p>\n<p>     <i><\/i><\/p>\n<h2 id=\"rcnne\">Did\u0117jan\u010dios naftos ir \u044d\u043d\u0435\u0440\u0433\u043e\u0440\u0435\u0441\u0443\u0440\u0441\u044b<\/h2>\n<p>Kai naftos kainos kyla, kelyje ir nekilnojamojo turto kainos. Tod\u0117l, pasak Savills, fone \u0434\u0435\u0448\u0435\u0432\u0435\u044e\u0449\u0435\u0439 naftos 2007 iki 2009 met\u0173 buto Maskvoje \u043f\u043e\u0434\u0435\u0448\u0435\u0432\u0435\u043b\u0438 51 %, o kai sausio-vasario 2009 m., kai naftos kainos prad\u0117jo pakilti, kaina kvadratini\u0173 metr\u0173, taip pat nu\u0117jo \u012f vir\u0161\u0173. \u012e 2015 m. naftos kainos parod\u0117 neigiam\u0105 dinamik\u0105, ir b\u016bsto kainos taip pat \u0441\u043d\u0438\u0436\u0430\u043b\u0438\u0441\u044c.<\/p>\n<p>Tokia situacija b\u016bdinga ne tik \u044d\u043d\u0435\u0440\u0433\u043e\u0437\u0430\u0432\u0438\u0441\u0438\u043c\u044b\u0445 rinkose, bet ir \u0161ali\u0173, \u0438\u043c\u043f\u043e\u0440\u0442\u0438\u0440\u0443\u044e\u0449\u0438\u0445 naftos: pig\u016bs \u044d\u043d\u0435\u0440\u0433\u043e\u0440\u0435\u0441\u0443\u0440\u0441\u044b suma\u017eina i\u0161laidas gyventoj\u0173 ir bendrovi\u0173, atitinkamai, \u0432\u044b\u0441\u0432\u043e\u0431\u043e\u0436\u0434\u0430\u044e\u0442\u0441\u044f priemon\u0117s \u012fsigyti nekilnojamojo turto, kuris veda \u012f augim\u0105, paklausos ir kain\u0173 rinkoje.<\/p>\n<p>     <i><\/i><\/p>\n<h2 id=\"kms\">Dideli tarptautiniai renginiai<\/h2>\n<p>Dideli tarptautiniai renginiai (Olimpin\u0117s \u017eaidyn\u0117s, pasaulio taur\u0117s \u010dempionatas, pasaulio, parodos ir kt) veda \u012f augim\u0105 kainos \u0161alia vieta vykdyti \u0161i\u0105 veikl\u0105. Kartais tokie \u012fvykiai turi ilgalaik\u012f poveik\u012f rinkai, pvz., &#8222;Olimpini\u0173 \u017eaidyni\u0173 efektas&#8221; pastebima miestuose-\u0445\u043e\u0437\u044f\u0435\u0432\u0430\u0445 \u017daidim\u0173 per kelet\u0105 met\u0173 atlikus var\u017eyb\u0173. Taip, At\u0117nuose (vieta Vasaros \u017eaidim\u0173 2004 m.) ir Londone (2012 m.) b\u016bsto kainos iki Olimpini\u0173 \u017eaidyni\u0173 augo \u0443\u043c\u0435\u0440\u0435\u043d\u043d\u044b\u043c\u0438 temp\u0105, o po jos smarkiai eidavo \u012f vir\u0161\u0173. \u012e 2015 m., prie\u0161 Olimpini\u0173 \u017eaidyni\u0173 Rio de \u017daneiras, kainos \u0161iame mieste jau \u043f\u043e\u0432\u044b\u0441\u0438\u043b\u0438\u0441\u044c toks, kad rinkoje \u043e\u0431\u0440\u0430\u0437\u043e\u0432\u0430\u043b\u0441\u044f burbulas. Olimpin\u0117s \u017eaidyn\u0117s-2020 vyks Tokijuje ir ekspertai taip pat tikisi nekilnojamojo turto kain\u0173 japonijos sostin\u0117je.<\/p>\n<p>     <i><\/i><\/p>\n<p>     <i><\/i><\/p>\n<p>Pana\u0161iu b\u016bdu \u012f rink\u0105, turi \u012ftakos ir kiti didieji \u012fvykiai. Pavyzd\u017eiui, dubajuje numatomas nekilnojamojo turto kain\u0173 at\u017evilgiu pasaulis parodos &#8222;Expo 2020&#8221;. Pagal ataskait\u0105 svetain\u0117s ArabianBusiness.com, b\u016bsto \u043a\u0440\u0443\u043f\u043d\u0435\u0439\u0448\u0435\u043c mieste JAE prad\u017eia \u0434\u043e\u0440\u043e\u0436\u0430\u0442\u044c jau lapkri\u010dio 2014 metais, i\u0161 karto po to, kai buvo paskelbta, kad renginys vyks dubajuje: nuo lapkri\u010dio iki gruod\u017eio 2014 nekilnojamojo turto \u0161alia \u043f\u043b\u043e\u0449\u0430\u0434\u043a\u0430\u043c\u0438, parinktais atlikti &#8222;Expo 2020&#8221;, pakilo \u012f kain\u0105 9 %.<\/p>\n<h2 id=\"ri\">Infrastrukt\u016bros<\/h2>\n<p>Statybos tarptautini\u0173 oro uost\u0173, dideli\u0173 klinikose, tilt\u0173 ir kit\u0173 stambi\u0173 infrastrukt\u016bros projektus veda prie to, kad nekilnojamojo turto kainos aplinkiniuose rajonuose auga spar\u010diau nei kitose miesto dalyse.<\/p>\n<p>Pavyzd\u017eiui, pasak &#8221; Knight Frank, kainos \u043b\u043e\u043d\u0434\u043e\u043d\u0441\u043a\u0443\u044e nekilnojam\u0105j\u012f turt\u0105, esant\u012f ant lygaus, \u0161alia vietas \u0432\u043e\u0437\u0432\u0435\u0434\u0435\u043d\u0438\u044f sto\u010di\u0173 greit\u0173j\u0173 gele\u017einkeli\u0173 sistemos Crossrail (\u0161iuo metu tai yra did\u017eiausias aktyvi\u0173j\u0173 projektas Europoje, auga vidutini\u0161kai 5 % grei\u010diau, nei kituose rajonuose did\u017eiosios britanijos sostin\u0117je.<\/p>\n<p>Kitas pavyzdys: analitikai turk\u0173 Centro strateginio planavimo ir investicij\u0173 \u012f nekilnojam\u0105j\u012f turt\u0105 (Gayrimenkul I\u00e7in Strateji Platformu) mano, kad \u0441\u0442\u0430\u0440\u0442\u043e\u0432\u0430\u0432\u0448\u0435\u0435 2014 m. statybos tre\u010diojo Stambule oro uosto l\u0117m\u0117 padid\u0117jusios nekilnojamojo turto kainos \u012f aplinkini\u0173 vietovi\u0173. Pasak Centro, \u017eem\u0117s, netoli oro uosto 2013 metais kainavo 20-30 eur\/m2, o 2015 m. \u2014 jau 77 eur\/m2.<\/p>\n<p>Tiems, kurie perka nekilnojam\u0105j\u012f turt\u0105 i\u0161 investicinio tikslo, a\u0161 rekomenduoju \u012fsigyti gyvenamojo nekilnojamojo turto geros srityje pl\u0117tros potencial\u0105. Idealiu atveju tai tur\u0117t\u0173 b\u016bti \u043f\u0440\u0438\u043b\u0435\u0433\u0430\u044e\u0449\u0438\u0439 prie \u044d\u043b\u0438\u0442\u043d\u043e\u043c\u0443 rajonas, b\u016bsto, kuriame ir \u0161iandien gyvena vidutini\u0161kai kain\u0173 intervale, o per 10-15 met\u0173 gali tapti brangus. Nekilnojamasis turtas visada turi paklaus\u0105, gyventoj\u0173 miest\u0173 bus tik did\u0117s, ir teritorijos, prie gretimo centrin\u0117 ir \u044d\u043b\u0438\u0442\u043d\u044b\u043c, pasmerkti tapti brang\u016bs, tod\u0117l but\u0173 toki\u0173 perspektyvi\u0173 \u043b\u043e\u043a\u0430\u0446\u0438\u044f\u0445 \u2014 tai geriausias svarb\u016bs. Prie to paties jei reikia, j\u012f galima bus parduoti be nuolaidos.<\/p>\n<p>            <b class=\"citation-author-name\">Georgijus \u041a\u0430\u0447\u043c\u0430\u0437\u043e\u0432<\/b><\/p>\n<p> Generalinis direktorius ir \u012fk\u016br\u0117jas Tranio<\/p>\n<p>&#8222;\u0422\u0440\u0430\u043d\u0438\u043e&#8221; rekomenduoja, kad gal\u0117tum\u0117te sekti \u012fvykius rinkose ir rinktis vietoje investicij\u0173 \u012f pagal prognozuojama kain\u0173 dinamik\u0105.<\/p>\n<p>Katerina \u041a\u043e\u0436\u0435\u0432\u043d\u0438\u043a\u043e\u0432\u0430, &#8222;\u0422\u0440\u0430\u043d\u0438\u043e&#8221;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Kaip \u017einoma, pirkti nekilnojam\u0105j\u012f turt\u0105 verta, kai rinka pasiek\u0117 dugn\u0105, o parduoti \u2014 \u0161iuo metu did\u017eiausias pagal did\u017eiausi\u0105 kain\u0105. Beje,<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":468,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[145],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-1841","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-mokesciu-informacija-prancuzijoje"],"translation":{"provider":"WPGlobus","version":"3.0.0","language":"lt","enabled_languages":["ru","uk","en","de","fr","it","es","pl","pt","bg","cs","da","et","fi","hr","hu","lt","lv","mk","no","ro","sk","sl","sq","sr","tr","nl","am","ca","sv"],"languages":{"ru":{"title":false,"content":false,"excerpt":false},"uk":{"title":false,"content":false,"excerpt":false},"en":{"title":false,"content":false,"excerpt":false},"de":{"title":false,"content":false,"excerpt":false},"fr":{"title":false,"content":false,"excerpt":false},"it":{"title":false,"content":false,"excerpt":false},"es":{"title":false,"content":false,"excerpt":false},"pl":{"title":false,"content":false,"excerpt":false},"pt":{"title":false,"content":false,"excerpt":false},"bg":{"title":false,"content":false,"excerpt":false},"cs":{"title":false,"content":false,"excerpt":false},"da":{"title":false,"content":false,"excerpt":false},"et":{"title":false,"content":false,"excerpt":false},"fi":{"title":false,"content":false,"excerpt":false},"hr":{"title":false,"content":false,"excerpt":false},"hu":{"title":false,"content":false,"excerpt":false},"lt":{"title":true,"content":true,"excerpt":false},"lv":{"title":false,"content":false,"excerpt":false},"mk":{"title":false,"content":false,"excerpt":false},"no":{"title":false,"content":false,"excerpt":false},"ro":{"title":false,"content":false,"excerpt":false},"sk":{"title":false,"content":false,"excerpt":false},"sl":{"title":false,"content":false,"excerpt":false},"sq":{"title":false,"content":false,"excerpt":false},"sr":{"title":false,"content":false,"excerpt":false},"tr":{"title":false,"content":false,"excerpt":false},"nl":{"title":false,"content":false,"excerpt":false},"am":{"title":false,"content":false,"excerpt":false},"ca":{"title":false,"content":false,"excerpt":false},"sv":{"title":false,"content":false,"excerpt":false}}},"aioseo_notices":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/nalog.fr\/lt\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/1841","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/nalog.fr\/lt\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/nalog.fr\/lt\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/nalog.fr\/lt\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/nalog.fr\/lt\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=1841"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/nalog.fr\/lt\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/1841\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/nalog.fr\/lt\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/468"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/nalog.fr\/lt\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=1841"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/nalog.fr\/lt\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=1841"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/nalog.fr\/lt\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=1841"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}