{"id":2362,"date":"2020-02-13T17:33:58","date_gmt":"2020-02-13T14:33:58","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/nalog.fr\/sk6-znacky-ktore-pomahaju-predpovedat-rast-cien-nehnutelnosti\/"},"modified":"2020-02-13T17:33:58","modified_gmt":"2020-02-13T14:33:58","slug":"sk6-znacky-ktore-pomahaju-predpovedat-rast-cien-nehnutelnosti","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/nalog.fr\/sk\/sk6-znacky-ktore-pomahaju-predpovedat-rast-cien-nehnutelnosti\/","title":{"rendered":"6 zna\u010dky, ktor\u00e9 pom\u00e1haj\u00fa predpoveda\u0165 rast cien nehnute\u013enost\u00ed"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>Ako viete, n\u00e1kup nehnute\u013enost\u00ed je, ke\u010f na trhu dosiahla dno a pred\u00e1va\u0165 v \u010dase vrcholu maxim\u00e1lnu cenu. Av\u0161ak, n\u00e1klady objektov je v\u017edy ovplyvnen\u00e9 mnoh\u00fdmi faktormi, a preto je d\u00f4le\u017eit\u00e9, aby investori mohli vybra\u0165 vhodn\u00fa strat\u00e9giu a by\u0165 schopn\u00fd predv\u00edda\u0165, ako sa bude spr\u00e1va\u0165 ceny za ur\u010dit\u00e9 \u010dasov\u00e9 obdobie. &#8222;Tranio&#8220; rozpr\u00e1va, na \u010do d\u00f4vodov m\u00f4\u017ee zisti\u0165, \u010di majetok je drah\u0161ie alebo lacnej\u0161ie v bl\u00edzkej bud\u00facnosti:<\/p>\n<ul>\n<li>hospod\u00e1rsky rast (HDP)<\/li>\n<li>rast strednej triedy<\/li>\n<li>n\u00e1rast v stavebn\u00edctve,<\/li>\n<li>rast\u00face ceny ropy a energetick\u00fdch zdrojov<\/li>\n<li>v\u00fdznamn\u00e9 medzin\u00e1rodn\u00e9 podujatia<\/li>\n<li>rozvoj infra\u0161trukt\u00fary.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<h2 id=\"re\">Hospod\u00e1rsky rast (HDP)<\/h2>\n<p>Hospod\u00e1rsky rast vedie k zv\u00fd\u0161eniu k\u00fapnej sily a blahobytu. V obr\u00e1ti\u0165, \u010do vedie k n\u00e1rastu po\u010dtu transakci\u00ed na trhu a v d\u00f4sledku rastu cien nehnute\u013enost\u00ed. Napr\u00edklad v \u0160panielsku a Taliansku oboch HDP a b\u00fdvanie ceny vzr\u00e1stli od roku 2000 a\u017e do roku 2008, kedy svetov\u00e1 finan\u010dn\u00e1 kr\u00edza, a od roku 2009 v oboch krajin\u00e1ch, tieto ukazovatele sa zn\u00ed\u017eil.<\/p>\n<p>     <i><\/i><\/p>\n<p>     <i><\/i><\/p>\n<h2 id=\"rbsk\">Rast strednej triedy<\/h2>\n<p>V\u00e4\u010d\u0161ina kupuj\u00facich nehnute\u013enost\u00ed \u2014 strednej triedy. Zmeny vo v\u00fd\u0161ke pr\u00edjmu tejto soci\u00e1lnej skupine, m\u00e1 v\u00fdznamn\u00fd vplyv na dopyt a teda ceny na trhu. Vo V\u0161eobecnosti, v krajin\u00e1ch, kde strednej triedy je z\u00edska\u0165 bohat\u00e9 r\u00fdchle, b\u00fdvanie ceny rast\u00fa r\u00fdchlej\u0161ie, a naopak.<\/p>\n<p>Napr\u00edklad od roku 2000 do roku 2015 sa priemern\u00fd ro\u010dn\u00fd rast bohatstva tejto triedy na Filip\u00ednach a v Rusku tvoria 11 % a ceny nehnute\u013enost\u00ed v t\u00fdchto krajin\u00e1ch viac ako v rovnakom obdob\u00ed vzr\u00e1stli v priemere o 7 a 9% ro\u010dne, resp. Vo Franc\u00fazsku a \u0160vaj\u010diarsku priemern\u00fd ro\u010dn\u00fd rast blahobytu tejto skupine obyvate\u013estva bola 7 %, a rast cien za b\u00fdvanie \u2014 4 a 5 %. V Japonsku sa v\u00fdnosy ob\u010danov 15 rokov nezmenilo a majetku tak klesol na 2 %.<\/p>\n<p>     <i><\/i><\/p>\n<h2 id=\"uos\">N\u00e1rast v stavebn\u00edctve<\/h2>\n<p>O\u017eivenie stavebn\u00edctva znamen\u00e1 zlep\u0161enie situ\u00e1cie na realitnom trhu. Stavebn\u00e9 objemy s\u00fa za\u010diatku zv\u00fd\u0161i\u0165 ako o\u017eivenie dopytu. Tak, tempo v\u00fdstavby v \u0160panielsku prestala klesa\u0165 v 2013-2014, a \u017ee za\u010dala zvy\u0161ova\u0165 ceny nehnute\u013enost\u00ed.<\/p>\n<p>     <i><\/i><\/p>\n<p>     <i><\/i><\/p>\n<h2 id=\"rcnne\">Rast\u00face ceny ropy a energetick\u00fdch zdrojov<\/h2>\n<p>Ke\u010f sa ceny ropy rast\u00fa, a rast\u00face ceny nehnute\u013enost\u00ed. Teda, pod\u013ea Savills, uprostred padaj\u00facich cien ropy od roku 2007 do roku 2009, apartm\u00e1ny v Moskve klesol o 51 %, a ke\u010f v janu\u00e1ri-febru\u00e1ri 2009, sa ceny ropy za\u010dali st\u00fapa\u0165, cena za \u0161tvorcov\u00fd meter tie\u017e i\u0161iel. V roku 2015, olej vyk\u00e1zali negat\u00edvny trend, domov a bytov ceny tie\u017e klesla.<\/p>\n<p>T\u00e1to situ\u00e1cia je typick\u00e1 nielen pre prchav\u00e9 trhoch, ale aj pre krajiny dov\u00e1\u017eaj\u00face ropu: lacnej energie n\u00e1klady na obyvate\u013eov a firiem, respekt\u00edve, s\u00fa uvo\u013enen\u00e9 finan\u010dn\u00e9 prostriedky na n\u00e1kup nehnute\u013enost\u00ed, ktor\u00e9 vedie k zv\u00fd\u0161eniu dopytu a cien na trhu.<\/p>\n<p>     <i><\/i><\/p>\n<h2 id=\"kms\">V\u00fdznamn\u00e9 medzin\u00e1rodn\u00e9 podujatia<\/h2>\n<p>V\u00fdznamn\u00e9 medzin\u00e1rodn\u00e9 podujatia (Olympijsk\u00e9 hry, majstrovstv\u00e1 sveta, svetov\u00fdch v\u00fdstav\u00e1ch, at\u010f.) vies\u0165 k vy\u0161\u0161\u00edm cen\u00e1m pre b\u00fdvanie v bl\u00edzkosti miesta konania t\u00fdchto akci\u00ed. Niekedy sa tieto udalosti maj\u00fa trval\u00fd vplyv na trh, napr\u00edklad, &#8222;Olympijsk\u00e9 hry&#8220; efekt sa pozoroval v hostite\u013esk\u00fdch mest\u00e1ch Hry, v priebehu nieko\u013ek\u00fdch rokov po s\u00fa\u0165a\u017ei. Tak\u017ee, v At\u00e9nach (mieste Letn\u00e9 hry z roku 2004) a v Lond\u00fdne (2012) b\u00fdvanie ceny pred olympijsk\u00fdmi hrami r\u00e1stla miernym tempom, a potom ho prudko vzr\u00e1stli. V roku 2015, v predve\u010der Olympijsk\u00e9 hry v Rio de Janeiro, ceny v tomto meste st\u00fapol nato\u013eko, \u017ee trh vytvorila bublina. Do roku 2020 Olympi\u00e1da sa bude kona\u0165 v Tokiu, a odborn\u00edci tie\u017e o\u010dak\u00e1va\u0165, \u017ee rast cien nehnute\u013enost\u00ed v Japonskom hlavnom meste.<\/p>\n<p>     <i><\/i><\/p>\n<p>     <i><\/i><\/p>\n<p>Podobne trhu vplyv a in\u00e9 v\u00fdznamn\u00e9 udalosti. Napr\u00edklad v Dubaji sa predpoklad\u00e1 n\u00e1rast cien nehnute\u013enost\u00ed v s\u00favislosti s konan\u00edm svetovej v\u00fdstave &#8222;Expo-2020&#8220;. Pod\u013ea webovej str\u00e1nky ArabianBusiness.com b\u00fdvanie v najv\u00e4\u010d\u0161ie mesto spojen\u00fdch arabsk\u00fdch emir\u00e1tov za\u010dal st\u00fapa\u0165 v novembri 2014, hne\u010f po \u0148om bolo ozn\u00e1men\u00e9, \u017ee udalos\u0165 sa bude kona\u0165 v Dubaji od novembra do decembra 2014 nehnute\u013enosti v bl\u00edzkosti lokal\u00edt vybran\u00fdch hos\u0165 &#8222;Expo-2020&#8220;, zv\u00fd\u0161enie ceny o 9 %.<\/p>\n<h2 id=\"ri\">Rozvoj infra\u0161trukt\u00fary<\/h2>\n<p>Kon\u0161trukcia medzin\u00e1rodn\u00e9 letisk\u00e1, ve\u013ek\u00e9 nemocnice, mosty a in\u00e9 v\u00fdznamn\u00e9 projekty v oblasti infra\u0161trukt\u00fary, vies\u0165 k tomu, \u017ee ceny nehnute\u013enost\u00ed v okolit\u00fdch oblastiach rast\u00fa r\u00fdchlej\u0161ie ako v in\u00fdch \u010dastiach mesta.<\/p>\n<p>Napr\u00edklad, pod\u013ea Knight Frank, ceny v Lond\u00fdne nehnute\u013enos\u0165 sa nach\u00e1dza v pri\u013eahl\u00fdch oblastiach na vybudovanie stanice vysokor\u00fdchlostn\u00e9 \u017eelezni\u010dn\u00e9 Crossrail (v s\u00fa\u010dasnosti je to najv\u00e4\u010d\u0161ie projektov infra\u0161trukt\u00fary v Eur\u00f3pe), rastie v priemere 5% r\u00fdchlej\u0161ie ako v in\u00fdch oblastiach Britskej metropole.<\/p>\n<p>In\u00fd pr\u00edklad: analytikov, tureck\u00e1 Centrum strategick\u00e9 pl\u00e1novanie invest\u00edcie do nehnute\u013enost\u00ed (Gayrimenkul Snk Strateji Platformu) sa domnievaj\u00fa, \u017ee za\u010dala v roku 2014 v\u00fdstavba tretej Istanbul airport viedlo k zv\u00fd\u0161eniu ceny nehnute\u013enost\u00ed v okolit\u00fdch oblastiach. Pod\u013ea Centra, pozemok v bl\u00edzkosti letiska, v roku 2013 bol v hodnote 20-30 eur\/m2, a v roku 2015 u\u017e 77 eur\/m2.<\/p>\n<p>T\u00ed, ktor\u00ed k\u00fapi\u0165 nehnute\u013enosti na investi\u010dn\u00e9 \u00fa\u010dely, odpor\u00fa\u010dam n\u00e1kup nehnute\u013enost\u00ed na b\u00fdvanie v dobrej oblas\u0165 s potenci\u00e1lom rastu. V ide\u00e1lnom pr\u00edpade by to malo by\u0165 ved\u013ea elitnej \u0161tvrti, a dom, v ktorom dnes je v strednej cenovej kateg\u00f3rii, ale v 10-15 rokov sa m\u00f4\u017ee sta\u0165 drah\u00e9. Nehnute\u013enost\u00ed je v\u017edy v dopyte, mestsk\u00e9 obyvate\u013estvo bude len zvy\u0161ova\u0165, a oblasti, v bl\u00edzkosti Strednej a pohodln\u00e9, s\u00fa ods\u00faden\u00e9, aby sa stal drah\u00e9, tak\u017ee apartm\u00e1ny v t\u00fdchto s\u013eubn\u00e9 miesta je najlep\u0161ie akt\u00edv. Okrem toho, ak je to potrebn\u00e9 m\u00f4\u017ee sa pred\u00e1va\u0165 bez z\u013eavy.<\/p>\n<p>            <b class=\"citation-author-name\">Georgij Kachmazov<\/b><\/p>\n<p> Gener\u00e1lny RIADITE\u013d a zakladate\u013e Tranio<\/p>\n<p>&#8222;Tranio&#8220; odpor\u00fa\u010da monitorova\u0165 v\u00fdvoj na trhoch a na v\u00fdber lokality pre invest\u00edcie v s\u00falade s predpokladan\u00fdm dynamics.<\/p>\n<p>Yulia Kozhevnikova, &#8222;Tranio&#8220;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Ako viete, n\u00e1kup nehnute\u013enost\u00ed je, ke\u010f na trhu dosiahla dno a pred\u00e1va\u0165 v \u010dase vrcholu maxim\u00e1lnu cenu. Av\u0161ak, n\u00e1klady objektov<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":468,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[152],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-2362","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-danove-informacie-vo-francuzsku"],"translation":{"provider":"WPGlobus","version":"3.0.0","language":"sk","enabled_languages":["ru","uk","en","de","fr","it","es","pl","pt","bg","cs","da","et","fi","hr","hu","lt","lv","mk","no","ro","sk","sl","sq","sr","tr","nl","am","ca","sv"],"languages":{"ru":{"title":false,"content":false,"excerpt":false},"uk":{"title":false,"content":false,"excerpt":false},"en":{"title":false,"content":false,"excerpt":false},"de":{"title":false,"content":false,"excerpt":false},"fr":{"title":false,"content":false,"excerpt":false},"it":{"title":false,"content":false,"excerpt":false},"es":{"title":false,"content":false,"excerpt":false},"pl":{"title":false,"content":false,"excerpt":false},"pt":{"title":false,"content":false,"excerpt":false},"bg":{"title":false,"content":false,"excerpt":false},"cs":{"title":false,"content":false,"excerpt":false},"da":{"title":false,"content":false,"excerpt":false},"et":{"title":false,"content":false,"excerpt":false},"fi":{"title":false,"content":false,"excerpt":false},"hr":{"title":false,"content":false,"excerpt":false},"hu":{"title":false,"content":false,"excerpt":false},"lt":{"title":false,"content":false,"excerpt":false},"lv":{"title":false,"content":false,"excerpt":false},"mk":{"title":false,"content":false,"excerpt":false},"no":{"title":false,"content":false,"excerpt":false},"ro":{"title":false,"content":false,"excerpt":false},"sk":{"title":true,"content":true,"excerpt":false},"sl":{"title":false,"content":false,"excerpt":false},"sq":{"title":false,"content":false,"excerpt":false},"sr":{"title":false,"content":false,"excerpt":false},"tr":{"title":false,"content":false,"excerpt":false},"nl":{"title":false,"content":false,"excerpt":false},"am":{"title":false,"content":false,"excerpt":false},"ca":{"title":false,"content":false,"excerpt":false},"sv":{"title":false,"content":false,"excerpt":false}}},"aioseo_notices":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/nalog.fr\/sk\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/2362","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/nalog.fr\/sk\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/nalog.fr\/sk\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/nalog.fr\/sk\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/nalog.fr\/sk\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=2362"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/nalog.fr\/sk\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/2362\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/nalog.fr\/sk\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/468"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/nalog.fr\/sk\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=2362"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/nalog.fr\/sk\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=2362"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/nalog.fr\/sk\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=2362"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}