{"id":2658,"date":"2020-02-14T01:22:52","date_gmt":"2020-02-13T22:22:52","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/nalog.fr\/tr6-belirtisi-hangi-tahmin-yukselen-emlak-fiyatlari\/"},"modified":"2020-02-14T01:22:52","modified_gmt":"2020-02-13T22:22:52","slug":"tr6-belirtisi-hangi-tahmin-yukselen-emlak-fiyatlari","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/nalog.fr\/tr\/tr6-belirtisi-hangi-tahmin-yukselen-emlak-fiyatlari\/","title":{"rendered":"6 belirtisi, hangi tahmin y\u00fckselen emlak fiyatlar\u0131"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>Bilindi\u011fi gibi, emlak sat\u0131n almak i\u00e7in de\u011fer, piyasa dibe satmak de\u011fil \u2014 bir anda zirveye en y\u00fcksek fiyata. Ancak, de\u011fer nesneler i\u00e7in her zaman pek \u00e7ok fakt\u00f6rden etkilenir ve bu nedenle, yat\u0131r\u0131mc\u0131 se\u00e7mek \u00f6nemlidir, uygun bir strateji ve ba\u015far\u0131s\u0131z olaca\u011f\u0131n\u0131 tahmin etmek nas\u0131l davranaca\u011f\u0131n\u0131 fiyat, belirli bir zaman aral\u0131\u011f\u0131nda. \u00ab\u0422\u0440\u0430\u043d\u0438\u043e\u00bb diyor, hangi belirtilere g\u00f6re olup olmad\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 belirlemek i\u00e7in bir gayrimenkul daha pahal\u0131 veya daha ucuz ve yak\u0131n gelecekte:<\/p>\n<ul>\n<li>ekonomik b\u00fcy\u00fcme (GSY\u0130H),<\/li>\n<li>y\u00fckselen orta s\u0131n\u0131f refah,<\/li>\n<li>art\u0131\u015f in\u015faat<\/li>\n<li>y\u00fckselen petrol fiyatlar\u0131 ve enerji,<\/li>\n<li>b\u00fcy\u00fck uluslararas\u0131 olaylar,<\/li>\n<li>altyap\u0131 geli\u015ftirme.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<h2 id=\"re\">Ekonomik b\u00fcy\u00fcme (GSY\u0130H)<\/h2>\n<p>Ekonomik b\u00fcy\u00fcme sonucunda artan sat\u0131n alma g\u00fcc\u00fc ve refah n\u00fcfus. Buna kar\u015f\u0131l\u0131k, bu art\u0131\u015fa yol a\u00e7ar miktarda, piyasada i\u015flem ve sonu\u00e7 olarak, artan emlak fiyatlar\u0131. \u00d6rne\u011fin, \u0130spanya ve \u0130talya gibi GSY\u0130H ve konut fiyatlar\u0131 artt\u0131, 2000, 2008 y\u0131l\u0131na kadar, ne zaman ba\u015flad\u0131, k\u00fcresel mali kriz, ve zaten 2009 y\u0131l\u0131ndan bu yana her iki \u00fclkede de, bu rakamlar d\u00fc\u015ft\u00fc.<\/p>\n<p>     <i><\/i><\/p>\n<p>     <i><\/i><\/p>\n<h2 id=\"rbsk\">Y\u00fckselen orta s\u0131n\u0131f refah<\/h2>\n<p>B\u00fcy\u00fck bir k\u0131sm\u0131 al\u0131c\u0131lar \u2014 orta s\u0131n\u0131f. D\u00fczenleme gelir bu sosyal tabaka b\u00fcy\u00fck \u00f6l\u00e7\u00fcde etkiler, dolay\u0131s\u0131yla, talep piyasa fiyatlar\u0131. Genel olarak \u00fclkelerde orta s\u0131n\u0131f h\u0131zla zengin olur, konut fiyatlar\u0131 daha h\u0131zl\u0131 b\u00fcy\u00fcr ve tam tersi.<\/p>\n<p>\u00d6rne\u011fin, 2000 ve 2015 y\u0131llar\u0131 ortalama y\u0131ll\u0131k b\u00fcy\u00fcme, refah, s\u0131n\u0131f\u0131n Filipinler ve Rusya&#8217;da ger\u00e7ekle\u015fti 11 % ve emlak fiyatlar\u0131 bu \u00fclkelerde ayn\u0131 d\u00f6nemde b\u00fcy\u00fcd\u00fc ortalama 7 ve 9 y\u0131lda % buna g\u00f6re. Fransa&#8217;da ve \u0130svi\u00e7re&#8217;de y\u0131ll\u0131k ortalama b\u00fcy\u00fcme, refah, bu grubun n\u00fcfusun %7 oldu ve konut fiyatlar\u0131ndaki art\u0131\u015f \u2014 5 ve %4. Japonya&#8217;da gelir d\u00fczeyi gibi vatanda\u015flar\u0131n 15 y\u0131ld\u0131r de\u011fi\u015fmedi ve gayrimenkul bu d\u00fc\u015ft\u00fc 2 %.<\/p>\n<p>     <i><\/i><\/p>\n<h2 id=\"uos\">Art\u0131\u015f in\u015faat<\/h2>\n<p>Canlanma in\u015faat sekt\u00f6r\u00fcnde bir geli\u015fme g\u00f6sterir emlak piyasas\u0131 durum. \u0130n\u015faat hacmi artmaya ba\u015flar ve en az bir kurtarma talep ediyoruz. B\u00f6ylece, in\u015faat h\u0131z\u0131, \u0130spanya durdu k\u00fc\u00e7\u00fcltmek 2013-2014, ve bununla birlikte ba\u015flad\u0131 y\u00fckselmeye emlak fiyatlar\u0131.<\/p>\n<p>     <i><\/i><\/p>\n<p>     <i><\/i><\/p>\n<h2 id=\"rcnne\">Y\u00fckselen petrol fiyatlar\u0131 ve enerji<\/h2>\n<p>Ne zaman petrol fiyatlar\u0131 art\u0131yor, art\u0131yor ve emlak fiyatlar\u0131. B\u00f6ylece g\u00f6re Savills, arka \u0434\u0435\u0448\u0435\u0432\u0435\u044e\u0449\u0435\u0439 petrol ile 2007 2009 Moskova&#8217;da bir daire i\u00e7in %51 %, ve ne zaman ocak-\u015fubat 2009 petrol fiyatlar\u0131 y\u00fckselmeye ba\u015flad\u0131, metrekare ba\u015f\u0131na maliyet \u00e7ok yukar\u0131 gitti. 2015 y\u0131l\u0131nda petrol olumsuz bir e\u011filim g\u00f6sterdi ve konut fiyatlar\u0131 da geriledi.<\/p>\n<p>Tipik bir durum i\u00e7in de\u011fil, sadece \u044d\u043d\u0435\u0440\u0433\u043e\u0437\u0430\u0432\u0438\u0441\u0438\u043c\u044b\u0445 piyasalar, ayn\u0131 zamanda \u00fclkeler i\u00e7in ithal petrol: ucuz enerji maliyetleri azaltmak, n\u00fcfusun ve \u015firketlerin buna g\u00f6re, serbest fonlar, gayrimenkul sat\u0131n almak art\u0131\u015f\u0131na yol a\u00e7an talep ve piyasada fiyat.<\/p>\n<p>     <i><\/i><\/p>\n<h2 id=\"kms\">B\u00fcy\u00fck uluslararas\u0131 olay<\/h2>\n<p>B\u00fcy\u00fck uluslararas\u0131 olaylar (Olimpiyat oyunlar\u0131, d\u00fcnya futbol kupas\u0131, d\u00fcnya, fuar, vb) b\u00fcy\u00fcmesine yol, konut fiyatlar\u0131 ve yak\u0131n\u0131nda ideal bir yer tutan bu gibi olanaklar\u0131n tad\u0131n\u0131 \u00e7\u0131karabilirler. Bazen b\u00f6yle bir olay var, uzun s\u00fcre piyasa etkisi, \u00f6rne\u011fin, \u00abetkisi Olimpiyatlar\u0131\u00bb g\u00f6r\u00fclmektedir \u015fehirlerde y\u00f6neticisi rolleri Oyun birka\u00e7 y\u0131l sonra yar\u0131\u015fmalar. Bu y\u00fczden, Atina (mekan Yaz oyunlar\u0131 2004) ve Londra (2012) konut fiyatlar\u0131 kadar Olimpiyatlar\u0131 \u0131l\u0131ml\u0131 bir h\u0131zda b\u00fcy\u00fcd\u00fc ve ondan sonra h\u0131zla y\u00fcr\u00fcd\u00fc yukar\u0131. 2015 y\u0131l\u0131nda, Olimpiyat oyunlar\u0131 arifesinde, Rio de Janeiro, fiyat bu \u015fehirde zaten y\u00fckseli\u015fte oldu\u011fu kadar, piyasas\u0131 olu\u015fmu\u015f kabarc\u0131k. Olimpiyatlar-2020 yap\u0131lacakt\u0131r Tokyo ve uzmanlar da bekliyoruz emlak fiyatlar\u0131ndaki art\u0131\u015f japon ba\u015fkenti.<\/p>\n<p>     <i><\/i><\/p>\n<p>     <i><\/i><\/p>\n<p>Benzer \u015fekilde, piyasa etkisi ve di\u011fer b\u00fcy\u00fck olaylar. \u00d6rne\u011fin, Dubai tahmin y\u00fckselen emlak fiyatlar\u0131 nedeniyle d\u00fcnya fuar\u0131 \u00abExpo-2020\u00bb. Sonras\u0131 web sitesi ArabianBusiness.com konut, en b\u00fcy\u00fck \u015fehir, birle\u015fik arap emirlikleri ba\u015flang\u0131\u00e7 daha pahal\u0131 zaten, kas\u0131m 2014, hemen sonra a\u00e7\u0131kland\u0131 etkinlik yap\u0131lacakt\u0131r Dubai: kas\u0131m-aral\u0131k 2014 emlak yak\u0131n\u0131nda alanlar\u0131 i\u00e7in se\u00e7ilen mekan \u00abExpo-2020\u00bb, b\u00fcy\u00fcd\u00fc kar\u015f\u0131la\u015ft\u0131r\u0131n %9.<\/p>\n<h2 id=\"ri\">Altyap\u0131<\/h2>\n<p>\u0130n\u015faat, uluslararas\u0131 havaalanlar\u0131 ve b\u00fcy\u00fck klinikler, k\u00f6pr\u00fcler ve di\u011fer b\u00fcy\u00fck altyap\u0131 projeleri, yol, emlak fiyatlar\u0131 yak\u0131n b\u00f6lgelerde daha h\u0131zl\u0131 b\u00fcy\u00fcmek, daha \u015fehrin di\u011fer b\u00f6lgelerinde.<\/p>\n<p>\u00d6rne\u011fin, Knight Frank g\u00f6re, fiyatlar\u0131, londra gayrimenkul \u00fczerinde bulunan alanlarda, biti\u015fik yerler, \u00fcs istasyonlar\u0131, y\u00fcksek h\u0131zl\u0131 tren Crossrail (\u015fu an i\u00e7in en b\u00fcy\u00fck altyap\u0131 projesi Avrupa) b\u00fcy\u00fcme ortalama %5 daha h\u0131zl\u0131 di\u011fer alanlarda ingiliz sermaye.<\/p>\n<p>Ba\u015fka bir \u00f6rnek olarak, analistler t\u00fcrk Merkezi stratejik planlama gayrimenkul yat\u0131r\u0131m (Gayrimenkul \u0130\u00e7in Strateji Kanal\u0131) inan\u0131yorum \u0441\u0442\u0430\u0440\u0442\u043e\u0432\u0430\u0432\u0448\u0435\u0435 2014 y\u0131l\u0131nda in\u015faat \u00fc\u00e7\u00fcnc\u00fc \u0130stanbul havaalan\u0131 art\u0131\u015fa yol a\u00e7m\u0131\u015ft\u0131r emlak fiyatlar\u0131 biti\u015fik alanlarda. Merkezine g\u00f6re, toprak, havaalan\u0131 yak\u0131n\u0131nda ve 2013 y\u0131l\u0131nda mal 20-30 euro\/m2, 2015 y\u0131l\u0131nda da zaten 77 euro\/m2.<\/p>\n<p>Kim sat\u0131n al\u0131r gayrimenkul yat\u0131r\u0131m ama\u00e7l\u0131 tavsiye ederim sat\u0131n almak i\u00e7in konut gayrimenkul ile iyi bir alanda geli\u015fme potansiyeli. \u0130deal olarak, bu olmal\u0131d\u0131r biti\u015fik elit b\u00f6lgesi, konut oldu\u011fu bug\u00fcn ortalama fiyat aral\u0131\u011f\u0131 ise 10-15 y\u0131l pahal\u0131 olabilir. Gayrimenkul her zaman talep, n\u00fcfus, \u015fehirler artacakt\u0131r, ve biti\u015fik alanlar, merkezi ve elit bir mahkum olmak pahal\u0131, bu nedenle, bir daire gibi g\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcml\u00fc yerlerde, daha iyi bir varl\u0131k. Ayr\u0131ca, gerekirse onu satmak m\u00fcmk\u00fcn olacak olmadan indirim.<\/p>\n<p>            <b class=\"citation-author-name\">George \u041a\u0430\u0447\u043c\u0430\u0437\u043e\u0432<\/b><\/p>\n<p> Ceo ve kurucusu Tranio<\/p>\n<p>\u00ab\u0422\u0440\u0430\u043d\u0438\u043e\u00bb \u00f6nerir geli\u015fmelerin piyasalar ve se\u00e7mek i\u00e7in yerle bir yat\u0131r\u0131m g\u00f6re \u00f6ng\u00f6r\u00fclen fiyat dinamikleri.<\/p>\n<p>Julia \u041a\u043e\u0436\u0435\u0432\u043d\u0438\u043a\u043e\u0432\u0430, \u00ab\u0422\u0440\u0430\u043d\u0438\u043e\u00bb<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Bilindi\u011fi gibi, emlak sat\u0131n almak i\u00e7in de\u011fer, piyasa dibe satmak de\u011fil \u2014 bir anda zirveye en y\u00fcksek fiyata. Ancak, de\u011fer<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":468,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[156],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-2658","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-fransada-vergi-bilgileri"],"translation":{"provider":"WPGlobus","version":"3.0.0","language":"tr","enabled_languages":["ru","uk","en","de","fr","it","es","pl","pt","bg","cs","da","et","fi","hr","hu","lt","lv","mk","no","ro","sk","sl","sq","sr","tr","nl","am","ca","sv"],"languages":{"ru":{"title":false,"content":false,"excerpt":false},"uk":{"title":false,"content":false,"excerpt":false},"en":{"title":false,"content":false,"excerpt":false},"de":{"title":false,"content":false,"excerpt":false},"fr":{"title":false,"content":false,"excerpt":false},"it":{"title":false,"content":false,"excerpt":false},"es":{"title":false,"content":false,"excerpt":false},"pl":{"title":false,"content":false,"excerpt":false},"pt":{"title":false,"content":false,"excerpt":false},"bg":{"title":false,"content":false,"excerpt":false},"cs":{"title":false,"content":false,"excerpt":false},"da":{"title":false,"content":false,"excerpt":false},"et":{"title":false,"content":false,"excerpt":false},"fi":{"title":false,"content":false,"excerpt":false},"hr":{"title":false,"content":false,"excerpt":false},"hu":{"title":false,"content":false,"excerpt":false},"lt":{"title":false,"content":false,"excerpt":false},"lv":{"title":false,"content":false,"excerpt":false},"mk":{"title":false,"content":false,"excerpt":false},"no":{"title":false,"content":false,"excerpt":false},"ro":{"title":false,"content":false,"excerpt":false},"sk":{"title":false,"content":false,"excerpt":false},"sl":{"title":false,"content":false,"excerpt":false},"sq":{"title":false,"content":false,"excerpt":false},"sr":{"title":false,"content":false,"excerpt":false},"tr":{"title":true,"content":true,"excerpt":false},"nl":{"title":false,"content":false,"excerpt":false},"am":{"title":false,"content":false,"excerpt":false},"ca":{"title":false,"content":false,"excerpt":false},"sv":{"title":false,"content":false,"excerpt":false}}},"aioseo_notices":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/nalog.fr\/tr\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/2658","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/nalog.fr\/tr\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/nalog.fr\/tr\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/nalog.fr\/tr\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/nalog.fr\/tr\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=2658"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/nalog.fr\/tr\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/2658\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/nalog.fr\/tr\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/468"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/nalog.fr\/tr\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=2658"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/nalog.fr\/tr\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=2658"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/nalog.fr\/tr\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=2658"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}